Thursday, November 3, 2016

Complexity Science & CCAD


Posted: November 3, 2016

Complexity Science

 

The Corpus Christi Army Depot (CCAD) has two main missions.  They are repairing damaged aircraft and upgrading older models of aircraft into an updated configuration.   These missions have not changed much throughout the years.  As the introduction to new technology has accelerated, CCAD has seen its own strategy evolve throughout the years.  This has happened with personnel staffing, industrial processes, and recently, an influx of Lean Six Sigma (LSS) projects to eliminate waste and cost overruns. 

 
Personnel staffing has evolved over time in key positions.  The Deputy Commander of the Depot used to be a Lieutenant Colonel from the Army.  It is now a civilian GS-15 position.  That transition is one that I agree with because it provides a stable long-term civilian occupying the Deputy slot, rather than a military officer who would only be in the position for a couple of years.  This provides the Depot with long-term continuity and a knowledge base that contains more depth and breadth than would be possible with a military officer.  The flip side of this coin is that leaders can sometimes stagnate.  They are resistant to new ideas or changes that happen within the environment.  This can lead to a mentality when questioned to: “We have always done it that way”.  Obviously, that is not the optimal answer.  There have been other switches between military personnel and civilian personnel.  Many of them in the Flight Test section of CCAD seem to fluctuate back and forth over time.  That being said, the Deputy Commander position is the one that I find the most significant in the realm of personnel changes.  I would be remiss if I didn’t mention that CCAD used to employ nearly 7,000 people.  Of that one half of them were private contractors.  CCAD now employs 3,500 people.  The work load is not the same as it was when the 7,000 employee peak was reached, but there is a significant cost savings realized through the reduction.  Additionally, reductions in workload were a result of the Afghanistan and Iraq campaigns winding down.  This lead to a decreased demand for aircraft and a longer lead time in repairing them and returning them to service.

 
CCAD has come up with cutting edge industrial processes covering a variety of skilled trades.  These processes have exceeded the processes of companies such as Sikorsky and Boeing.  There remains much more that can be done.  A limiting factor is where Sikorsky and Boeing draw the line on approving CCAD processes for installation on the aircraft.  As astute observer might note that both Sikorsky and Boeing compete for some of the same contracts for aircraft that CCAD does!  Therefore, they are a supplier and partner to CCAD, while at the same time they are functioning as business rivals!  It reminds me of the Yin Yang model where polar opposites are shown to coexist.  Further, they are shown to be dependent on each other.  That is how the situation between CCAD and its private enterprise competitors compares.

 
LSS has been the rage for a few years now and have provided tangible benefits to many private organizations as well as governmental organizations.  LSS seeks to maximize efficiencies, save money, incorporate ergonomics into a scientific formula.  The problem with LSS is that they operate from a deterministic viewpoint where they feel they can control outcomes and prevent chaotic outcomes arising from complex systems.  They also ignore Edward Lorenz’s butterfly effect.  As a result of a weather modeling system, Lorenz dropped the last three digits in a six digit decimal calculation during the second iteration of his weather experiment.  He didn’t think it would be significant.  It was.  Over time, the simulations varied apart from each other as possible.  This became known as the butterfly effect.  Small changes can induce large (even unintended) changes to a process or an organization over time.  For example, our LSS experts did a project in which their bottom line was that all product defects had to be processed the same way.  That is good except for all of them shouldn’t be processed the same way!  Some of them required executing warranties.  Some were taken care of by certain organizations, while other parts were the responsibility of some other different organization.  The one size fits all scenario developed into serious challenge for CCAD as they struggled to execute product warranties on defective items, only to find out that because they processed them uniformly, they were unable to collect on the warranty work!

 

A hybrid system of LSS, complexity/adaptability thinking, and the “Art of the Possible” is now emerging at CCAD.  With proper guidance of the senior leadership, this could be successful.  An effort needs to be made to solicit ideas from the bottom up and gain the buy in of the employees.  Otherwise, the new venture will be viewed cynically at just another attempt to institute changes because of a crisis.  Older employees have seen these new initiatives come and go.  I will be long retired from military and civilian service 10 years from now.  My hope is that this hybrid system is successful and 10 years down the road, CCAD is still operating and turning out high quality, cutting edge, and aircraft for our armed forces.

 
John H2O

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